Data Scientist, Finance Forecasting at Anthropic

About Anthropic Anthropic’s mission is to create reliable, interpretable, and steerable AI systems. We want AI to be safe and beneficial for our users and for society as a whole. Our team is a quickly growing group of committed researchers, engineers, policy experts, and business leaders working together to build beneficial AI systems. About the role As an early member of our Finance Analytics and Business Intelligence team, you will play an instrumental role in our company's mission of building safe and beneficial artificial intelligence by establishing robust analytics engineering and business intelligence capabilities for our Finance & Accounting organization. In this unique company, technology, and moment in history, your work will be critical to ensuring accurate financial reporting, streamlining accounting processes, and supporting our financial operations as we deploy safe, frontier AI at scale to the world. As a founding Data Scientist on Anthropic's Finance Forecasting team, you'll own revenue forecasting models that drive capacity planning and board reporting, build the backtesting and accuracy discipline that makes those forecasts trustworthy, and lead causal measurement work that tells us how much a given launch or event actually moved revenue — turning what is currently a best-guess conversation into a designed, repeatable readout. We're hiring for two seats on this team, and we expect candidates to lead with depth in either production time-series forecasting or causal inference. Both shapes are first-class; tell us in your application which one feels more like you. This is a build role on a small team. The forecast is visible inside the company, and when it's wrong, people notice. We're looking for someone who would rather have their models scored than stay vague, and who is excited to set the bar for how forecasting is done here. Responsibilities: • Own a core piece of the team's modeling work — either the production revenue forecasts themselves (scoping, development, backtesting, deployment, monitoring) or the causal measurement program for launches and events • Build and run backtesting and accuracy tracking for your models, and use the results to improve quality cycle over cycle • Contribute to the team's broader research direction, including event-aware forecast architectures, hierarchical reconciliation, and causal designs that hold up under launch-driven step-changes • Translate model output and accuracy results into clear recommendations for Finance and executive leadership • Partner with the team's Analytics Engineer on feature pipelines, model deployment, and the forecast store You may be a good fit if you: • Have substantial experience in data science, forecasting, or quantitative finance, including time owning models in production rather than only in notebooks • Are deeply fluent in Python and SQL and comfortable productionizing what you build • Have a strong applied statistics foundation, with depth in either production time-series methods (Prophet, ETS, ARIMA, gradient-boosted approaches, neural forecasting, hierarchical reconciliation) or causal inference (difference-in-differences, synthetic control, Bayesian structural time series, event studies) • Have built backtesting and accuracy-tracking discipline before and are comfortable having your models scored publicly • Have presented and defended a forecast or causal estimate to executives • Have a bias for action and do your best work in ambiguous, early-stage environments Strong candidates may also have: • Experience with exogenous-regressor or event-aware forecasting approaches • Familiarity with hybrid or foundation-model forecasting (TimeGPT-class systems) • Background in pricing and elasticity modeling or marketing-mix modeling • Experience forecasting a consumption-based or usage-billed business (cloud, API, marketplace) What success looks like in your first year: • A cross-methodology accuracy baseline is published as a standing Finance metric • The base revenue forecast is measurably more accurate than today's consensus on the same out-of-sample window • Launch incrementality is a standing readout with a designed, backtested method behind it • Forecasts are queryable from the forecast store and feeding capacity planning and board reporting Things to know Anthropic's business is growing quickly, with launch-driven step-changes that mean what worked last quarter may not generalize. Methodology direction is a research program, not a settled architecture. You'll be building practices and systems while also delivering a monthly number, alongside an Analytics Engineer who is building the platform underneath you. The annual compensation range for this role is listed below. For sales roles, the range provided is the role’s On Target Earnings ("OTE") range, meaning that the range includes both the sales commissions/sales bonuses target and annual base salary for the role. Annual Salary:$270,000—$320,000 USD Logistics Minimum education: Bachelor’s degree or an equivalent combination of education, training, and/or experience Required field of study: A field relevant to the role as demonstrated through coursework, training, or professional experience Minimum years of experience: Years of experience required will correlate with the internal job level requirements for the position Location-based hybrid policy: Currently, we expect all staff to be in one of our offices at least 25% of the time. However, some roles may require more time in our offices. Visa sponsorship: We do sponsor visas! However, we aren't able to successfully sponsor visas for every role and every candidate. But if we make you an offer, we will make every reasonable effort to get you a visa, and we retain an immigration lawyer to help with this. We encourage you to apply even if you do not believe you meet every single qualification. Not all strong candidates will meet every single qualification as listed. Research shows that people who identify as being from underrepresented groups are more prone to experiencing imposter syndrome and doubting the strength of their candidacy, so we urge you not to exclude yourself prematurely and to submit an application if you're interested in this work. We think AI systems like the ones we're building have enormous social and ethical implications. We think this makes representation even more important, and we strive to include a range of diverse perspectives on our team. Your safety matters to us. To protect yourself from potential scams, remember that Anthropic recruiters only contact you from @anthropic.com email addresses. In some cases, we may partner with vetted recruiting agencies who will identify themselves as working on behalf of Anthropic. Be cautious of emails from other domains. Legitimate Anthropic recruiters will never ask for money, fees, or banking information before your first day. If you're ever unsure about a communication, don't click any links—visit anthropic.com/careers directly for confirmed position openings. How we're different We believe that the highest-impact AI research will be big science. At Anthropic we work as a single cohesive team on just a few large-scale research efforts. And we value impact — advancing our long-term goals of steerable, trustworthy AI — rather than work on smaller and more specific puzzles. We view AI research as an empirical science, which has as much in common with physics and biology as with traditional efforts in computer science. We're an extremely collaborative group, and we host frequent research discussions to ensure that we are pursuing the highest-impact work at any given time. As such, we greatly value communication skills. The easiest way to understand our research directions is to read our recent research. This research continues many of the directions our team worked on prior to Anthropic, including: GPT-3, Circuit-Based Interpretability, Multimodal Neurons, Scaling Laws, AI & Compute, Concrete Problems in AI Safety, and Learning from Human Preferences. Come work with us! Anthropic is a public benefit corporation headquartered in San Francisco. We offer competitive compensation and benefits, optional equity donation matching, generous vacation and parental leave, flexible working hours, and a lovely office space in which to collaborate with colleagues. Guidance on Candidates' AI Usage: Learn about our policy for using AI in our application process